Feb. 05, 2007 | 06:00 AM EST

Chuck's Daily Pick: Best Female R&B Vocal Performance

Photo by: Jo Hale / Getty
Chuck's Daily Pick: Best Female R&B Vocal Performance
PEOPLE music critic Chuck Arnold counts down to Sunday's Grammy Awards, category by category.

WILL WIN: Mary J. Blige
SHOULD WIN: Mary J. Blige

HERE'S WHY: Mariah Carey had her Grammy moment last year, and Beyoncéis up for the wrong song (the smash "Irreplaceable" won't be eligible until next year). That leaves Mary J. Blige, the Queen of Hip-Hop Soul, to rule here (Natalie Cole and India.Arie are also up). It's amazing that she's only won once before in this category, and not even for "No More Drama." (Now come on, folks, really!) Judging by her Grammy-leading eight nominations, the Academy will be sure to reward her with some long-overdue props this year. Her performance of "Be Without You" is classic Blige, equal parts passion and preaching. By the end of it, was there anyone who wasn't putting their hands up for Miss Mary?

WATCH IT: Click here to see "Be Without You" on AOL Music.